Pre-Match Analysis: Aston Villa vs Everton (Premier League 2024)

Introduction

The upcoming Premier League match between Aston Villa and Everton on September 14, 2024, is set to be a crucial encounter for both teams. Aston Villa, under the management of Unai Emery, have had a relatively strong start to the season, while Everton, led by Sean Dyche, are struggling at the bottom of the table. This analysis will delve into the chances of Aston Villa winning, Everton winning, or the match ending in a draw, based on various factors including team form, player availability, and tactical considerations.

Team Form and Recent Performances

Aston Villa

Aston Villa have had a promising start to the 2024/25 Premier League season. They have secured six points from their first three games, with notable victories against West Ham United and Leicester City. Their only defeat came at the hands of Arsenal, a team that is traditionally strong. Villa's upward trajectory over the past few seasons has seen them qualify for the Champions League, indicating a significant improvement in their squad depth and quality.

Key players like Amadou Onana, who joined from Everton, have already made a significant impact. Onana has scored in both of Villa's wins, showcasing his potential and fitting well into Emery's tactical setup. The return of key players like Ollie Watkins and Ezri Konsa from injury further boosts Villa's chances. Watkins, in particular, has been a crucial player for Villa, and his availability will be a significant factor in their attacking prowess.

Everton

Everton, on the other hand, have had a dismal start to the season. They have lost all three of their opening matches, conceding ten goals and scoring only two. Their defensive frailties have been exposed, and they have struggled to maintain leads, as seen in their recent collapse against Bournemouth. The absence of key defender Jarrad Branthwaite has been a significant blow, and his return is eagerly anticipated.

Despite the poor start, Everton's management has shown faith in Sean Dyche, recognizing his past achievements in keeping the team in the Premier League under challenging circumstances. However, the pressure is mounting, and a fourth consecutive defeat could further dent the team's morale and confidence.

Tactical Analysis

Aston Villa

Unai Emery's tactical approach has been characterized by a focus on possession-based football and a solid defensive structure. Villa's midfield, bolstered by the addition of Onana, has shown the ability to control games and create scoring opportunities. Emery's emphasis on tactical discipline and detailed preparation has been evident in Villa's performances.

Villa's attacking options, including Watkins and the emerging talent of Jhon Duran, provide them with the firepower needed to break down Everton's shaky defense. The versatility of their midfield, with players like Youri Tielemans and Ross Barkley, allows Emery to adapt his tactics based on the opposition.

Everton

Sean Dyche's Everton has traditionally been built on strong defensive foundations, but this season has seen a departure from that norm. The team has struggled to deal with crosses and set-pieces, leading to a high number of goals conceded. Dyche's preference for a more direct style of play has not yielded the desired results, and the team has been unable to maintain intensity for the full 90 minutes.

The potential return of Branthwaite could provide some much-needed stability at the back. However, Everton's attacking options remain limited, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin being the only consistent goal threat. The midfield, now without Onana, has struggled to provide the necessary support both defensively and offensively.

Key Players to Watch

Aston Villa

• Amadou Onana: The former Everton player has been in excellent form, scoring in both of Villa's wins. His ability to control the midfield and contribute to the attack will be crucial.
• Ollie Watkins: Returning from injury, Watkins' pace and finishing ability make him a significant threat to Everton's defense.
• Jhon Duran: The young Colombian forward has shown immense potential and could be a game-changer, whether starting or coming off the bench.

Everton

• Dominic Calvert-Lewin: Everton's primary goal threat, Calvert-Lewin's ability to hold up play and finish chances will be vital if Everton are to get anything from the game.
• Jarrad Branthwaite: If fit, his return could provide the defensive solidity that Everton desperately need.
• Tim Iroegbunam: The young midfielder has shown promise, but his ability to maintain performance levels throughout the game will be tested.

Predictions and Conclusion

Aston Villa Win

Given their current form, squad depth, and tactical setup, Aston Villa are the favorites to win this match. Their ability to control the game through midfield dominance and their attacking options make them a formidable opponent for an out-of-form Everton side. The return of key players like Watkins and Konsa further strengthens their chances.

Everton Win

While an Everton win seems less likely, it cannot be entirely ruled out. If Branthwaite returns and the team can rediscover some defensive solidity, they might be able to frustrate Villa and capitalize on set-pieces or counter-attacks. However, this would require a significant improvement in their overall performance and game management.

Draw

A draw is a plausible outcome if Everton can tighten up defensively and Villa struggle to break them down. Given Everton's desperate need for points and Dyche's ability to set up defensively resilient teams, a hard-fought draw could be on the cards.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Aston Villa are the clear favorites to win this match based on their current form, tactical setup, and player availability. Everton's poor start to the season and defensive vulnerabilities make it challenging to see them securing a win. However, football is unpredictable, and a draw or even a surprise win for Everton cannot be entirely ruled out. The match promises to be an intriguing encounter, with both teams having much at stake.