Pre-Match Analysis: Aston Villa vs Everton - Premier League 2024

Introduction

The upcoming Premier League match between Aston Villa and Everton on September 14, 2024, is set to be a fascinating encounter. Both teams have had contrasting starts to the season, and this game could be pivotal for their respective campaigns. This analysis will delve into the chances of Aston Villa winning, Everton winning, or the match ending in a draw, based on the pre-match reports and current form of both teams.

Aston Villa's Form and Key Factors

Recent Performance

Aston Villa has had a mixed start to the season, with two wins and one loss. They secured 2-1 victories against West Ham and Leicester City but fell to a 2-0 defeat at home to Arsenal. Despite the loss, their overall performance has been commendable, especially considering their return to European competition.

Home Form

Villa's home form has been a bit concerning, with only four wins in their last 12 Premier League matches at Villa Park. This inconsistency at home could be a factor that Everton might look to exploit.

Key Players

• Ollie Watkins: Despite not scoring in the league this season, Watkins remains a crucial player for Villa. He withdrew from the England squad due to a knock but is expected to start. His goal-scoring prowess, having netted 19 goals last season, makes him a significant threat.
• Jhon Duran: The young Colombian has already scored twice this season, including a crucial winner against Leicester. However, his fitness after international duty remains a question.
• Amadou Onana: The former Everton midfielder has been impressive for Villa, scoring in both of their wins. His familiarity with Everton's setup could be an advantage.

Injuries and Availability

Villa has some injury concerns, with key players like Tyrone Mings, Matty Cash, and Boubacar Kamara unavailable. The potential absence of Leon Bailey could also impact their attacking options.

Everton's Form and Key Factors

Recent Performance

Everton has had a dreadful start to the season, losing all three of their opening matches. Their most recent game saw them squander a 2-0 lead against Bournemouth, eventually losing 3-2. This collapse has left them at the bottom of the table, and they are desperate for a turnaround.

Away Form

Everton's away form has been poor, with no wins in their last 12 away Premier League games. This dismal record on the road does not bode well for their chances at Villa Park.

Key Players

• Jordan Pickford: The Everton goalkeeper has been under immense pressure, having conceded 10 goals in three games. His performance will be crucial in keeping Villa at bay.
• Dominic Calvert-Lewin: The striker has been one of the few bright spots for Everton, and his ability to find the net could be vital.
• Iliman Ndiaye: The new signing has shown promise, and his attacking contributions will be essential for Everton.

Injuries and Availability

Everton is dealing with several injuries, including Jarrad Branthwaite, Nathan Patterson, and Armando Broja. The potential absence of Seamus Coleman further weakens their defensive options.

Tactical Analysis

Aston Villa

Under Unai Emery, Villa has shown a balanced approach, combining solid defense with effective attacking play. Emery's tactical acumen will be crucial in exploiting Everton's weaknesses, particularly their vulnerability to crosses and set-pieces.

Everton

Sean Dyche's Everton has struggled defensively, conceding goals from crosses and failing to maintain leads. Dyche's focus will likely be on tightening the defense and improving game management. However, their lack of confidence and poor form could be significant hurdles.

Psychological and External Factors

Aston Villa

The ongoing ticket price controversy has created some unrest among Villa fans. While this could impact the atmosphere at Villa Park, the team's recent performances and return to European competition might offset this negativity.

Everton

Everton's off-field issues, including ownership uncertainties and financial constraints, have added to the pressure on Dyche and his players. The support from the club's hierarchy might provide some stability, but the team's poor form and fan discontent could weigh heavily.

Predictions

Aston Villa Win

Given their better form, home advantage, and key players like Watkins and Onana, Aston Villa is the favorite to win this match. Their ability to grind out results, even when not at their best, gives them an edge over a struggling Everton side.

Everton Win

While an Everton win seems unlikely, it cannot be entirely ruled out. If Dyche can address their defensive frailties and the team can capitalize on Villa's occasional home inconsistencies, they might pull off a surprise victory.

Draw

A draw is a plausible outcome, especially if Everton manages to tighten their defense and Villa struggles to break them down. Both teams have shown vulnerabilities, and a cautious approach from both managers could lead to a stalemate.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Aston Villa appears to have the upper hand going into this match, with a higher likelihood of securing a win. However, football is unpredictable, and Everton's desperation for points could lead to a closely contested game. A draw remains a realistic possibility, but an Everton win would require a significant turnaround in their form and confidence.