Everton vs Newcastle

Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 4:30 PM UTC

Match Analysis

Everton vs. Newcastle: Match Analysis (2024-10-05)

Introduction

The upcoming Premier League clash between Everton and Newcastle United on October 5, 2024, promises to be an intriguing encounter. Both teams have had a mixed start to the season, and this match could be pivotal in shaping their respective campaigns. This analysis will delve into the form, key players, tactical setups, and provide a recommendation along with the percentage likelihood of each possible outcome. Additionally, we will include the odds from five major UK bookmakers.

Team Form and Key Players

Everton

Current Form: Everton has had a roller-coaster start to the 2024-25 season. With a mix of wins, draws, and losses, they find themselves mid-table. Their home form has been relatively strong, which could be a crucial factor in this match.

Key Players:

  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin: The striker has been in fine form, leading the line with his physical presence and goal-scoring ability.
  • Amadou Onana: The midfielder has been pivotal in controlling the tempo of the game and breaking up opposition play.
  • Jordan Pickford: The England international goalkeeper has been crucial in keeping Everton in games with his shot-stopping abilities.

Newcastle United

Current Form: Newcastle has shown flashes of brilliance but has struggled with consistency. They are currently in the top half of the table, but their away form has been a concern.

Key Players:

  • Alexander Isak: The forward has been a revelation, scoring crucial goals and providing a constant threat to opposition defenses.
  • Bruno Guimarães: The Brazilian midfielder has been the heartbeat of Newcastle's midfield, dictating play and contributing both defensively and offensively.
  • Kieran Trippier: The experienced right-back has been solid defensively and a key outlet in attack with his crossing ability.

Tactical Analysis

Everton

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Tactics: Everton under their current manager have adopted a pragmatic approach. They focus on solid defensive organization and quick transitions. The double pivot in midfield provides stability, while the wingers and attacking midfielder support Calvert-Lewin in attack.

Strengths:

  • Strong aerial presence in both defense and attack.
  • Effective counter-attacking play.
  • Solid home form.

Weaknesses:

  • Vulnerability to high pressing.
  • Inconsistency in midfield control.

Newcastle United

Formation: 4-3-3 Tactics: Newcastle prefers a more expansive style of play, focusing on possession and high pressing. Their midfield trio is crucial in maintaining control and providing service to the front three.

Strengths:

  • High pressing and quick recovery of the ball.
  • Versatile attacking options.
  • Strong midfield control.

Weaknesses:

  • Susceptibility to counter-attacks.
  • Defensive lapses, especially in away games.

Match Prediction and Outcome Likelihood

Possible Outcomes:

  1. Everton Win
  2. Draw
  3. Newcastle Win

Percentage Likelihood:

  • Everton Win: 35%
  • Draw: 30%
  • Newcastle Win: 35%

Given the current form and tactical setups, this match is expected to be closely contested. Both teams have their strengths and weaknesses, and the outcome could hinge on key moments and individual performances.

Bookmakers' Odds

| Bookmaker | Everton Win | Draw | Newcastle Win | |-----------------|-------------|------|---------------| | Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.60 | | William Hill | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.55 | | Ladbrokes | 2.85 | 3.35 | 2.65 | | Paddy Power | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.60 | | Betfair | 2.78 | 3.28 | 2.58 |

Recommendation

Considering the form and tactical analysis, a Draw seems to be a plausible outcome given the evenly matched nature of both teams. However, if you are looking for a higher risk-reward bet, backing either team to win could also be justified given their respective strengths.

Recommended Bet: Draw

Alternative Bet: Both Teams to Score (BTTS) - Yes

Conclusion

The Everton vs. Newcastle match on October 5, 2024, is set to be a tightly contested affair. Both teams have their strengths and weaknesses, and the outcome could go either way. With the provided analysis and bookmaker odds, you are well-equipped to make an informed decision on your bets. Enjoy the game!