Leicester vs Liverpool: EPL Preview, Prediction & Tips (Apr 20)

Sunday, April 20, 2025 at 3:30 PM UTC

Match Analysis

Leicester vs Liverpool: Premier League Clash Looms - EPL Match Preview & Predictions

Get ready for a crucial English Premier League showdown as relegation-threatened Leicester City host title-chasing Liverpool at the King Power Stadium. This pivotal fixture kicks off on Sunday, April 20, 2025, at 15:30 GMT (4:30 PM BST). With Leicester needing a miracle to survive and Liverpool potentially sealing the EPL crown, this match promises high stakes and intense football action. Read on for our comprehensive match preview, EPL predictions, betting tips, and tactical analysis.

Match Prediction and Scoreline

Predicted Score: Leicester City 0 – 3 Liverpool

Betting Insights & Probabilities:

Based on current form and season trajectory, Liverpool are heavy favourites. Leicester's dire home record makes a clean sheet for the visitors highly probable.

  • Winner Odds: Liverpool are strongly favoured. Expect short odds for an away win.
  • Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No. Leicester haven't scored in their last eight Premier League home games, an unwanted top-flight record.
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over. Liverpool's potent attack, led by Mohamed Salah, against a leaky Leicester defence suggests goals are likely.
  • Probability Breakdown (Opta Supercomputer):
    • Leicester Win: 10.9%
    • Draw: 15.9%
    • Liverpool Win: 73.2%

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Key Factors and Expected Outcome

Several key match factors point towards a dominant Liverpool performance and a challenging afternoon for the Foxes:

  • Form: The disparity is stark. Liverpool are on a winning streak, closing in on the title. Leicester are winless in nine league games (D1 L8) prior to their last match draw, and their home form is abysmal.
  • Morale: Liverpool's confidence is sky-high, boosted by recent contract extensions for Virgil van Dijk and Mohamed Salah, and the prospect of winning the league. Leicester's morale is rock bottom, facing inevitable relegation and fan discontent under manager Ruud van Nistelrooy.
  • Injuries & Availability: Liverpool may see Trent Alexander-Arnold return to the bench, while Darwin Nunez is back from illness. Joe Gomez remains out. Leicester have struggled with injuries to key players like Fatawu, Pereira, and Hermansen throughout the season, impacting their consistency.
  • Home vs. Away Advantage: While King Power Stadium can be imposing, Leicester's record-breaking scoreless streak at home negates any advantage. Liverpool possess significant away strength, with Salah chasing away goal records.
  • Managerial Impact: Arne Slot has expertly guided Liverpool towards the title in his first season. Van Nistelrooy is under immense pressure at Leicester, having overseen a catastrophic run of form.
  • Title/Relegation Stakes: Liverpool could win the Premier League title with a victory if Arsenal fail to win earlier on Sunday. Leicester must win to mathematically delay relegation for another week.

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Recent Team Form and Key Players to Watch

Leicester City

  • Last 5 EPL Results: D (2-2 vs Brighton A), L (0-3 vs Newcastle H), L (0-2 vs Man City A), L (0-3 vs Man Utd A), L (1-0 vs Chelsea A) - Form: DLLLL
  • Team News: The Foxes ended an eight-game losing streak and scoreless run with a draw at Brighton last time out. However, they haven't won a league game since January 26th and haven't scored a home league goal since December 8th. Key players like Abdul Fatawu (injured since Nov), Ricardo Pereira, and Mads Hermansen have had spells out. Midfielder Harry Winks appears out of favour. Bilal El Khannouss offers a creative spark but lacks consistency. The loan signing of Odsonne Edouard has been a failure.
  • Player to Watch: Bilal El Khannouss. The young midfielder possesses technical skill and tenacity. If Leicester are to create anything, it will likely come through him.

Liverpool

  • Last 5 EPL Results: W (2-1 vs West Ham H), W (3-2 vs Fulham A), W (1-0 vs Everton H), W (2-1 vs Crystal Palace A - from Article 6), W (3-1 vs Southampton H) - Form: WWWWW
  • Team News: Joe Gomez (hamstring) is out. Trent Alexander-Arnold (ankle) is back in training but unlikely to start, potentially making the bench. Conor Bradley is expected to continue at right-back. Darwin Nunez returns after illness.
  • Key Players to Watch:
    • Mohamed Salah: Having a record-breaking season (27 goals, 18 assists in PL). Scored 7 goals against promoted sides this term. Chasing single-season away goals and assists records. Recently signed a new contract.
    • Virgil van Dijk: The defensive rock and captain, crucial for leadership and stability. Also penned a new deal.
    • Dominik Szoboszlai: Impressive debut season (7 goals, 5 assists), key midfield presence.

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Tactical Preview

Expect a clash of contrasting styles dictated by form and necessity:

  • Liverpool Formation & Style (Likely 4-3-3): Arne Slot will deploy his signature high-pressing, high-intensity approach. Expect quick transitions, dominance in possession, and attacking impetus from full-backs (Bradley/Robertson). Midfielders like Mac Allister and Szoboszlai/Gravenberch will look to control the tempo and feed the dangerous front three (Salah, Jota/Nunez, Diaz).
  • Leicester Formation & Style (Likely 4-5-1 or 5-4-1): Ruud van Nistelrooy's side will likely set up defensively, aiming to frustrate Liverpool with a deep block. They'll hope to stay compact, limit space, and potentially hit on the counter-attack through players like Mavididi or rely on set pieces. Progressing the ball through midfield has been a major issue.
  • Key Tactical Battles:
    • Salah vs. Leicester Left-Back: Can Leicester contain the prolific Egyptian?
    • Liverpool Midfield vs. Leicester Midfield: The Reds' engine room (Mac Allister, Szoboszlai/Gravenberch) will aim to overwhelm Leicester's potentially makeshift midfield (El Khannouss, Ndidi?).
    • Van Dijk & Konate vs. Leicester Striker: Liverpool's centre-backs will be confident of handling Leicester's isolated frontman (Vardy/Daka?).

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Summary and Key Takeaways

This Premier League fixture pits a team on the brink of glory against one staring into the abyss. Liverpool's relentless form, attacking firepower, and high stakes motivation contrast sharply with Leicester's dreadful run, particularly at home, and plummeting morale.

  • Prediction Recap: A comfortable Liverpool victory (0-3) seems the most probable outcome, potentially confirming Leicester's relegation and even sealing the EPL title for the Reds.
  • Betting Angles:
    • Liverpool Win
    • Over 2.5 Goals
    • Both Teams To Score: No
    • Mohamed Salah Anytime Goalscorer
  • Fantasy Premier League Tips (FPL):
    • Mohamed Salah (LIV): Obvious captaincy choice given form and record potential.
    • Liverpool Defence (Van Dijk, Robertson, Alisson): High chance of clean sheet points.
    • Diogo Jota / Luis Diaz (LIV): Potential attacking differentials.
    • Avoid Leicester Players: Too risky given form and opposition.

Expect Liverpool to control the game from the outset, applying relentless pressure. While Leicester will fight for pride, their lack of confidence and goals, especially at the King Power Stadium, makes an upset highly unlikely against the Premier League champions-elect.

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