Leicester vs Liverpool

Sunday, April 20, 2025 at 3:30 PM UTC

Match Analysis

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Meta Title: Leicester vs Liverpool: EPL Preview, Prediction & Betting Tips

Meta Description: Expert Premier League preview for Leicester vs Liverpool (20/04/25). Get predictions, betting tips, team news, and tactical analysis for this EPL clash at King Power Stadium.

Leicester vs Liverpool: Premier League Match Preview & Predictions (20/04/2025)

Get ready for a crucial English Premier League encounter as relegation-threatened Leicester City host title-chasing Liverpool at the King Power Stadium. This high-stakes football match kicks off on Sunday, April 20, 2025, at 15:30 GMT (4:30 PM BST). With Liverpool potentially clinching the EPL title and Leicester facing the drop, this fixture promises drama at both ends of the table. Read on for our full match preview, EPL predictions, and betting insights.

Match Prediction and Scoreline

Based on current form and the stakes involved, Liverpool are strong favourites to secure three points. Leicester's dreadful run, particularly at home, contrasts sharply with Liverpool's title charge.

Predicted Score: Leicester 0 – 3 Liverpool

Betting Insights & Probabilities

  • Winner Odds: Liverpool are heavily favoured. Expect short odds for an away win. Leicester win odds will be long, with the Draw offering intermediate value.
  • Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Unlikely. Leicester have failed to score in their last eight Premier League home games, a top-flight record. BTTS - No seems a strong possibility.
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Likely Over 2.5 goals. Liverpool possess significant firepower and have scored in every away league match this season. Leicester have conceded at least two goals in eight of their last nine EPL games.

Probability Breakdown (Estimated):

  • Leicester Win: 10%
  • Draw: 15%
  • Liverpool Win: 75%

(Odds and probabilities are estimates and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.)

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Key Factors and Expected Outcome

Several key match factors will influence this Premier League clash:

  • Form Disparity: Leicester are in freefall, winless since January and enduring a historically bad run at home. Liverpool, despite a recent away slip-up against Fulham, are top of the league and fighting for the title.
  • Relegation vs. Title Stakes: The ultimate pressure cooker. Liverpool could win the league title if Arsenal lose to Ipswich earlier on Sunday. Leicester could be officially relegated with a draw or loss, or even before kickoff depending on West Ham and Wolves results.
  • Managerial Pressure: Leicester manager Ruud van Nistelrooy is under immense pressure, having earned just 8 points from 19 matches since taking over. His position looks untenable unless a miracle occurs. Arne Slot, conversely, has Liverpool on the cusp of glory, boosted by recent key contract renewals.
  • Team Morale: Leicester's morale is undoubtedly rock bottom amidst their "depressing" season. Liverpool's camp should be buoyant, driven by the title race and the recent contract extensions for Virgil van Dijk and Mohamed Salah.
  • Home Disadvantage?: Leicester's King Power Stadium is usually a tough venue, but their run of eight home league games without scoring negates any typical home advantage.
  • Key Absences/Returns: Liverpool will miss Joe Gomez but welcome back Darwin Nunez and potentially Trent Alexander-Arnold to the bench. Leicester regain Wout Faes and Jeremy Monga, boosting their defensive options.

Expected Outcome: Liverpool are expected to dominate possession and territory. Leicester will likely sit deep, attempting to frustrate the visitors, but their lack of attacking threat and defensive fragility under Van Nistelrooy suggest Liverpool will eventually break them down and secure a comfortable victory, potentially confirming Leicester's relegation to the Championship.

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Recent Team Form and Key Players to Watch

Leicester City

  • Recent Form (Last 6 PL): L L D L L L (Lost 0-3 vs Newcastle (H), Drew 2-2 vs Brighton (A), Lost 0-2 vs Man City (A), Lost 0-3 vs Man Utd (H), Lost 1-0 vs Chelsea (A), Lost 2-0 vs West Ham (A)) - A disastrous run, securing just one point from a possible 18 and failing to score in 5 of those 6 games. Their home form is particularly alarming (8 straight home league losses without scoring).
  • Injuries/Suspensions:
    • Out: Abdul Fatawu (knee), Harry Souttar (Achilles). Harry Winks reportedly out due to disagreement with manager.
    • Available: Wout Faes (back training), Jeremy Monga (back training), Facundo Buonanotte (eligible), Victor Kristiansen (back).
    • Maybe Start: Ricardo Pereira (returning from long-term hamstring injury).
  • Key Players:
    • Stephy Mavididi: Scored in 4 PL games this season, but Leicester haven't won any (D3 L1). Offers pace out wide.
    • Wout Faes: Return could bolster a leaky defence.
    • Jamie Vardy: Veteran striker whose experience might be called upon, though service has been poor.

Keywords: Leicester latest form, Leicester injury updates, Premier League player stats, Van Nistelrooy, Foxes.

Liverpool

  • Recent Form (Last 6 PL): W L W D W W (Won 2-1 vs West Ham (H), Lost 3-2 vs Fulham (A), Won 1-0 vs Everton (H), Drew 2-2 vs Aston Villa (A), Won 3-1 vs Southampton (H), Won 2-0 vs Newcastle (H)) - Strong form overall, collecting 13 points from 18, though the away loss to Fulham and draw at Villa show slight vulnerability on the road.
  • Injuries/Suspensions:
    • Out: Joe Gomez (hamstring), Tyler Morton (shoulder).
    • Doubtful: Trent Alexander-Arnold (ankle - back training, won't start, maybe bench).
    • Available: Darwin Nunez (back after 'not feeling himself').
  • Key Players:
    • Mohamed Salah: Chasing records (next goal is 185th in PL, 5th all-time; needs 2 assists for season record). Scored 7 goals in 5 games vs promoted teams this season. Key attacking threat.
    • Virgil van Dijk: Newly signed contract, immense leader, defensive rock, and aerial threat (24 PL headed goals).
    • Alexis Mac Allister: Controls the midfield tempo, crucial for breaking down deep defences.
    • Conor Bradley: Impressing at right-back in TAA's absence.

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Tactical Preview

  • Leicester City (Likely Formation: 4-2-3-1): Expect Ruud van Nistelrooy to set his team up defensively. They will likely deploy a low block, aiming to stay compact, deny space in behind, and frustrate Liverpool. Transitioning into attack has been a major issue, particularly at home. They may rely on hopeful long balls or moments of individual skill from players like Mavididi or El Khannouss. Their record of conceding frequently suggests this approach has fundamental flaws.
  • Liverpool (Likely Formation: 4-3-3 / 4-2-3-1): Arne Slot will demand high intensity and control. Expect Liverpool to dominate possession, utilising their attacking full-backs (Bradley and Robertson) to provide width. The midfield trio (likely Mac Allister, Gravenberch, and Szoboszlai/Jones) will aim to recycle possession quickly and probe for openings. A high press will look to win the ball back quickly in Leicester's half. The main question is upfront: will the out-of-form Diogo Jota (1 goal in 13) keep his place, or will Cody Gakpo start centrally with Luis Diaz?
  • Key Tactical Battles:
    • Liverpool's Attack vs. Leicester's Defence: Can Salah, Diaz, and Jota/Gakpo find a way through a packed, but fragile, Leicester backline potentially featuring the returning Faes alongside Coady?
    • Midfield Control: Mac Allister and Gravenberch vs. Ndidi and Soumare. Liverpool will expect to dominate this area, crucial for sustaining attacks.
    • Wide Areas: Bradley/Robertson pushing forward against Leicester's wingers (Mavididi/McAteer) who will be forced into defensive duties.

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Summary and Key Takeaways

This Premier League fixture presents a stark contrast: Liverpool are on the verge of a potential title celebration, while Leicester City face the grim reality of relegation. The form book points overwhelmingly towards an away victory.

Leicester's shocking home record (8 games without a goal) and overall poor performances under Van Nistelrooy make it incredibly difficult to see them getting anything from this game against the league leaders. Liverpool, motivated by the title race and boosted by key player availability and contracts, should have too much quality.

Key Takeaways:

  • Prediction: Liverpool to win comfortably (0-3).
  • Betting Angles: Liverpool Win, Over 2.5 Goals, Both Teams To Score - NO.
  • Fantasy Football (FPL) Tips:
    • Mohamed Salah (LIV): Prime captaincy candidate given his form, record vs promoted teams, and Leicester's defence.
    • Liverpool Defence: Alisson, Van Dijk, Robertson, Bradley all offer clean sheet potential.
    • Alexis Mac Allister (LIV): Consistent performer, likely involved in build-up play.
    • Avoid: All Leicester players due to form and potential relegation confirmation.

Expect Liverpool to control the game from the start, potentially sealing the win early. It could be a difficult afternoon for the home fans at the King Power Stadium as their team's fate looks set to be sealed.

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