Leicester vs Newcastle

Monday, April 7, 2025 at 7:00 PM UTC

Match Analysis

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Meta Title: Leicester vs Newcastle: EPL Preview, Prediction & Betting Tips

Meta Description: Expert EPL match preview for Leicester vs Newcastle (Apr 7). Get predictions, betting tips, team news, form analysis, and tactical insights for this Premier League clash.

Leicester vs Newcastle: Premier League Match Preview, Predictions & Analysis (Apr 7, 2025)

The Premier League action continues as struggling Leicester City host Newcastle United at the King Power Stadium on Monday, April 7, 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 GMT. This late-season EPL fixture carries significant weight, particularly for the Foxes who are deep in a relegation battle. This football analysis provides comprehensive EPL predictions, betting tips, and a tactical breakdown for the Leicester vs Newcastle encounter.

Match Prediction and Scoreline

Based on current form and recent results, Newcastle United appear favourites despite being the away side. Leicester's defensive frailties and inability to score recently make it hard to back them, even at home.

Predicted Score: Leicester 1 – 2 Newcastle

Betting Insights & Probability:

  • Winner Odds: Newcastle are favoured given Leicester's dreadful run. A Leicester win seems unlikely based on form (Approx: Leicester Win: 25%, Draw: 25%, Newcastle Win: 50%).
  • Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Leicester haven't scored in their last five Premier League games (as per results up to Apr 2nd). However, playing at home, they might break that duck. Newcastle have shown they can score but also conceded in recent matches (e.g., 4-3 vs Forest, 2-1 vs Brentford). Consider Yes for potentially better odds, but No is statistically safer based on Leicester's recent drought.
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Leicester concede frequently (14 goals in last 6 PL games prior to this match). Newcastle games have seen goals recently (4-3, 2-1). Over 2.5 Goals looks a strong possibility.

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Key Factors and Expected Outcome

Several key match factors will likely determine the expected EPL outcome at the King Power Stadium:

  • Form: This is the most significant factor. Leicester are in dire straits, entering this match potentially off the back of six consecutive Premier League defeats (results up to Apr 2nd show this run), failing to score in the last five of those. Newcastle's form is mixed but significantly better, with recent wins against Brentford, West Ham, Nottingham Forest, and Bournemouth interspersed with losses to top sides.
  • Morale: Leicester's confidence must be rock bottom, fighting relegation and unable to find results under Ruud van Nistelrooy (as mentioned in Article 11 regarding their situation before the Man City game). Newcastle, despite inconsistency, will have higher morale following recent victories.
  • Home vs. Away Advantage: While playing at the King Power Stadium usually benefits Leicester, their recent home form includes heavy defeats (0-3 vs Man Utd on Mar 16). Newcastle have secured important away wins recently (e.g., 1-0 at West Ham, 1-4 at Bournemouth).
  • Injuries & Availability: Based on information preceding Leicester's April 2nd match vs Man City (Articles 11 & 14), the Foxes were missing Abdul Fatawu and Harry Souttar (long-term), with Ricardo Pereira a doubt. No specific injury information for Newcastle United was provided in the source articles. Team news closer to the date will be crucial.
  • Pressure: Leicester face immense pressure in their fight for Premier League survival. Newcastle have less pressure regarding relegation but will be aiming for the highest possible finish.

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Recent Team Form and Key Players to Watch

Leicester City - Recent Premier League Form (Last 6 prior to this match):

  • Apr 2: Man City 2 - 0 Leicester (A) - L
  • Mar 16: Leicester 0 - 3 Man Utd (H) - L
  • Mar 9: Chelsea 1 - 0 Leicester (A) - L
  • Feb 27: West Ham 2 - 0 Leicester (A) - L
  • Feb 21: Brentford 4 - 0 Leicester (A) - L
  • Feb 15: Leicester 0 - 2 Arsenal (H) - L
    • Summary: Six straight losses, 0 goals scored, 14 goals conceded.

Newcastle United - Recent Premier League Form (Last 6 prior to this match):

  • Apr 2: Newcastle 2 - 1 Brentford (H) - W
  • Mar 10: West Ham 0 - 1 Newcastle (A) - W
  • Feb 26: Liverpool 2 - 0 Newcastle (A) - L
  • Feb 23: Newcastle 4 - 3 Nottm Forest (H) - W
  • Feb 15: Man City 4 - 0 Newcastle (A) - L
  • Feb 8: Bournemouth 1 - 4 Newcastle (A) - W
    • Summary: Four wins and two losses. Scored 11 goals, conceded 10 goals.

Injuries and Suspensions:

  • Leicester: Abdul Fatawu (Ligament - out for season), Harry Souttar (Achilles - out for season). Ricardo Pereira (Hamstring - Doubtful, was returning to training before Apr 2nd game). (Info based on Art 11/14).
  • Newcastle: No specific injury or suspension information provided in the source articles.

Key Players to Watch:

  • Leicester: Given their goal drought, the Foxes desperately need their attackers to step up. Veteran Jamie Vardy (mentioned as potential starter vs Man City in Art 14) could be crucial if fit and selected. Midfielders like Wilfred Ndidi or Harry Winks (Art 14) need to provide stability.
  • Newcastle: The Magpies rely on their attacking unit which has found the net regularly. While specific scorers aren't listed in the results, players leading their line and providing creativity from midfield will be key to exploiting Leicester's leaky defence. Their ability to score away from home (West Ham, Bournemouth) is notable.

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Tactical Preview

This EPL tactical analysis anticipates a clash of necessity versus confidence.

  • Leicester City (Likely Approach): Manager Ruud van Nistelrooy might opt for a pragmatic setup, possibly a variation of a 3-4-2-1 (used vs Man City per Art 14) or a 4-2-3-1, aiming for defensive solidity initially. However, being at home and desperate for points, they must show attacking intent. Expect them to try and be compact but look for opportunities to counter or build attacks, though their execution has been poor.
  • Newcastle United (Likely Approach): Newcastle may adopt a balanced approach, possibly a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1. They could look to press Leicester high, forcing errors from a low-confidence defence. Alternatively, they might sit slightly deeper, absorb pressure, and utilize their pace and attacking quality on the counter-attack, knowing Leicester have to push forward eventually. Possession strategies might favour Newcastle given Leicester's recent struggles.
  • Key Tactical Battles:
    • Newcastle Attack vs. Leicester Defence: Can Leicester's backline, which has conceded heavily, cope with Newcastle's forwards who have scored 11 in their last 6 PL games?
    • Midfield Control: The battle for dominance in midfield will be crucial. Can Leicester's midfielders disrupt Newcastle's rhythm and provide a platform for attack?
    • Set Pieces: Could be an avenue for Leicester to break their scoring duck, or another area Newcastle could exploit.

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Summary and Key Takeaways

This Premier League fixture pits a Leicester side in freefall against a Newcastle team capable of securing results, especially against struggling opposition.

  • Key Takeaway: Leicester's appalling form (6 straight PL losses, 0 goals in last 5) makes it incredibly difficult to see them getting a result, even at home. Newcastle's superior form and confidence should see them through.
  • Betting Angles Recap: Newcastle Win, Over 2.5 Goals appear the most solid bets. BTTS (Yes) offers value if you believe Leicester can finally score at home.
  • Fantasy Football Tips: Investing in Newcastle attackers seems prudent given Leicester's defensive record. Avoid Leicester players until they show significant signs of improvement. Consider Newcastle defenders as well, given Leicester's scoring woes, though Newcastle have conceded recently.
  • Final Prediction: Expect Newcastle to dominate possession and create more chances. Leicester might show brief periods of resistance fueled by desperation, but their lack of confidence and goals is likely to be their undoing. Newcastle to win 2-1.

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